Newcastle R2

12:00Club Charlestown Mdn Plate
1850mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Club Charlestown Mdn Platea 1850m maiden at Newcastle, jumping at 12:00 on ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Newcastle has staged 14 races at 1850m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 10 of 14 (71.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share); Settle position 1–3 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (3 from 39).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 77).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 6 of the 6 winners (6 from 24 runners, A/E 1.69) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey L P Beuzelin: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Wairarapa here.
  • Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 128 (18.0%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Reschs Milk here.
  • Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 31 from 205 (15.1%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Audaciously Frank, #3 Caribbean Thunder, #8 Wairarapa here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1850m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)521071.4%19.2%1.20
Middle (5–9)64214.3%3.1%0.31
Wide (10+)26214.3%7.7%0.86

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39321.4%7.7%0.56
On-pace (4–6)39642.9%15.4%1.12
Midfield (7–10)42428.6%9.5%0.99
Backmarkers (11+)1300%0%0.00
Unknown917.1%11.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)2214.3%100%1.58
Pop ($2–5)27750%25.9%0.96
Mid ($5–10)36535.7%13.9%1.04
Roughie (>$10)7700%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.