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← Ballarat SyntheticSunday 12 July 2026

Ballarat Synthetic R3

13:20LAB Plumbing Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenSyntheticRail: TrueFinal race-day data · updated 12 July 09:45 AEST
Race AnalysisStatistics
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For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

LAB Plumbing Mdn Plate — a 1000m maiden at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 13:20 on Synthetic ground, rail true. 6 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ballarat Synthetic has staged 40 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 40 (45.0% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.46 (5 from 34).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 23 of 40 (57.5% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (4 from 87).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 23 of 40 (57.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (4 from 175).

On Synthetic going

Filtering to 1000m · Synthetic covers 39 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.46 (5 from 34).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 11+ again on top: A/E 1.12 (1 from 12).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.98 (23 from 77).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 40 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.46 (5 from 34).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 11+ again on top: A/E 1.12 (1 from 12).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.96 (23 from 79).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 29 from 186 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Surviving Star here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 40 races (40 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1521845%11.8%0.81
Middle (5–9)1561742.5%10.9%0.78
Wide (10+)34512.5%14.7%1.46

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1142357.5%20.2%1.02
On-pace (4–6)1111025%9%0.69
Midfield (7–10)87410%4.6%0.54
Backmarkers (11+)1212.5%8.3%1.12
Unknown1825%11.1%0.88

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9512.5%55.6%0.87
Pop ($2–5)792357.5%29.1%0.96
Mid ($5–10)79820%10.1%0.75
Roughie (>$10)175410%2.3%0.57

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.