Evergreen Turf (Bm66) — a 1500m benchmark 66 at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 14:00 on Synthetic ground, rail true. 4 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat Synthetic has staged 35 races at 1500m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 35 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 13 of 35 (37.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 35 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
On Synthetic going
Filtering to 1500m · Synthetic covers 33 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 0.93 (8 from 78).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.95 (11 from 91).
- Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 1.60 (8 from 9); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 35 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 0.87 (8 from 80).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.91 (11 from 97).
- Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 1.60 (8 from 9); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brad Rawiller: 29 from 186 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #5 Amphactor here.
- Jockey Cian Macredmond is 10 from 103 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 1.21) and has #1 Autumnheat here.