Sportsbet Green Tick Hcp (C1) — a 1200m class 1 at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 16:00 on Synthetic ground, rail true. 6 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat Synthetic has staged 53 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 24 of 53 each (45.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (5 from 84).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 24 of 53 (45.3% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 20).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 17 of 53 (32.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
On Synthetic going
Filtering to 1200m · Synthetic covers 52 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.91 (23 from 206).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 0.91 (24 from 150); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.96 (14 from 109).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 53 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.93 (24 from 209).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.90 (16 from 137).
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.02 (15 from 110).
Jockeys & trainers
- Trainer Mitchell Freedman: 6 from 38 (15.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #7 Salizou here.