Grafton R7

16:20Donovan Livestock & Property Country Boosted Showcase (Bm66)
1610mBenchmark 66Rail: +3m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Donovan Livestock & Property Country Boosted Showcase (Bm66)a 1610m benchmark 66 at Grafton, jumping at 16:20 on ground, rail +3m. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Grafton has staged 13 races at 1610m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Wide (10+) wins the most races here — 5 of 13 (38.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.49).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 13 (30.8% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (2 from 37).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 6 of 13 (46.2% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.21).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 37 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 2 of the 5 winners (2 from 12 runners, A/E 1.82) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 35 from 172 (20.3%) in the last 90 days (16 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Vixenette here.
  • Jockey Harrison Shaw: 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #13 Monarch Express here.
  • Trainer L J Clapham is 4 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (13.3% strike, A/E 1.92) and has #4 Lady Alabama, #8 In The Fine Print here.
  • Trainer Shane Everson is 11 from 68 at today’s meeting profile (16.2% strike, A/E 1.81) and has #3 Sun Topaze here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1610m · 13 races (13 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)47430.8%8.5%0.70
Middle (5–9)59430.8%6.8%0.60
Wide (10+)33538.5%15.2%1.49

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)30430.8%13.3%0.84
On-pace (4–6)30323.1%10%0.87
Midfield (7–10)37215.4%5.4%0.60
Backmarkers (11+)517.7%20%1.65
Unknown37323.1%8.1%0.86

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)26538.5%19.2%0.71
Mid ($5–10)36646.2%16.7%1.21
Roughie (>$10)76215.4%2.6%0.65

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.