Your Capability Store Mdn Hcp — a 2200m maiden at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 12:05 on — ground, rail +3m. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Sunshine Coast has staged 14 races at 2200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 4 of 14 (28.6% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.74).
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.59).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 40 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 2 of the 4 winners (2 from 9 runners, A/E 1.53) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Old Faithful here.
- Trainer Jack Bruce: 24 from 127 (18.9%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Kojak here.
- Jockey Taylor Marshall is 4 from 29 at today’s meeting profile (13.8% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #10 Rotate here.
- Trainer Billy Healey is 20 from 125 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #5 Clench here.