Sunshine Coast R8

16:45Superstretch 300 Limousines (Bm58)
1200mBenchmark 58Rail: +3m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Superstretch 300 Limousines (Bm58)a 1200m benchmark 58 at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 16:45 on ground, rail +3m. 19 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sunshine Coast has staged 90 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 45 of 90 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 29 of 90 (32.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (8 from 169).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 40 of 90 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 284 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.03 (8 from 51).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.43 (1 from 8); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.95 (3 from 70); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Seismic Boom here.
  • Trainer Matthew Hoysted: 5 from 32 (15.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Cantankerous, #10 Seismic Boom here.
  • Jockey Ron Stewart is 4 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.46) and has #9 Moroccan Wind here.
  • Trainer Billy Healey is 20 from 125 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #4 Rustic Tzar here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 90 races (90 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3404550%13.2%0.88
Middle (5–9)3503235.6%9.1%0.76
Wide (10+)1581314.4%8.2%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1802932.2%16.1%0.99
On-pace (4–6)1742123.3%12.1%0.86
Midfield (7–10)16988.9%4.7%0.52
Backmarkers (11+)4122.2%4.9%0.64
Unknown2843033.3%10.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191011.1%52.6%0.92
Pop ($2–5)1874044.4%21.4%0.74
Mid ($5–10)1872527.8%13.4%1.01
Roughie (>$10)4551516.7%3.3%0.80

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.