Sunshine Coast R2

12:45Vibe PR & Marketing Mdn Hcp
1200mMaidenRail: +3m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Vibe PR & Marketing Mdn Hcpa 1200m maiden at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 12:45 on ground, rail +3m. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sunshine Coast has staged 90 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 45 of 90 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 29 of 90 (32.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (8 from 169).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 40 of 90 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 284 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.03 (8 from 51).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.43 (1 from 8); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.95 (3 from 70); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Quick Release here.
  • Jockey Michael Rodd: 6 from 38 (15.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #11 Well Grounded here.
  • Trainer K M Schweida: 8 from 46 (17.4%) in the last 30 days — saddles #3 Metal Boss here.
  • Trainer J W Healy: 12 from 75 (16.0%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #13 Solar Rhythm here.
  • Jockey Taylor Marshall is 4 from 29 at today’s meeting profile (13.8% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #7 Diamond Ocean here.
  • Jockey Tiffani Brooker is 17 from 143 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.20) and has #13 Solar Rhythm here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 90 races (90 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3404550%13.2%0.88
Middle (5–9)3503235.6%9.1%0.76
Wide (10+)1581314.4%8.2%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1802932.2%16.1%0.99
On-pace (4–6)1742123.3%12.1%0.86
Midfield (7–10)16988.9%4.7%0.52
Backmarkers (11+)4122.2%4.9%0.64
Unknown2843033.3%10.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191011.1%52.6%0.92
Pop ($2–5)1874044.4%21.4%0.74
Mid ($5–10)1872527.8%13.4%1.01
Roughie (>$10)4551516.7%3.3%0.80

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.