Sunshine Coast R6

15:25Pisa - Procurement By Design (Bm58)
1600mBenchmark 58Rail: +3m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Pisa - Procurement By Design (Bm58)a 1600m benchmark 58 at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 15:25 on ground, rail +3m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sunshine Coast has staged 51 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 24 of 51 (47.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 13 of 51 (25.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 51 (49.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 157 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.26 (6 from 35).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.54 (3 from 16).
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 1.27 (7 from 19); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Kelsey Lenton × Nick Keal are 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 And I Am here.
  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Difronzo here.
  • Jockey Tiffani Brooker is 17 from 143 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.20) and has #8 Yes To Excess here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 51 races (51 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1922447.1%12.5%0.87
Middle (5–9)2181937.3%8.7%0.75
Wide (10+)95815.7%8.4%0.85

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1051325.5%12.4%0.69
On-pace (4–6)105917.6%8.6%0.76
Midfield (7–10)1111121.6%9.9%1.09
Backmarkers (11+)2723.9%7.4%0.93
Unknown1571631.4%10.2%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)847.8%50%0.80
Pop ($2–5)1072549%23.4%0.83
Mid ($5–10)1151427.5%12.2%0.90
Roughie (>$10)275815.7%2.9%0.68

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.