HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunshine CoastSunday 12 July 2026

Sunshine Coast R7

16:05Harlequin Blinds Hcp (C1)
1000mClass 1Rail: +3m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Harlequin Blinds Hcp (C1) — a 1000m class 1 at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 16:05 on — ground, rail +3m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sunshine Coast has staged 133 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 61 of 133 (45.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 55 of 133 (41.4% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.29 (1 from 83).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 62 of 133 (46.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 277 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 34 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 1.00 (19 from 135); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.16 (17 from 84).
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.02 (9 from 68); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Jack Bruce: 24 from 127 (18.9%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #3 Tara's Reward here.
  • Trainer K M Schweida: 8 from 46 (17.4%) in the last 30 days — saddles #18 Estee Emm here.
  • Jockey Ron Stewart is 4 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.46) and has #11 Dazzling Diamond here.
  • Jockey Taylor Marshall is 4 from 29 at today’s meeting profile (13.8% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #3 Tara's Reward here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 133 races (133 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)5046145.9%12.1%0.80
Middle (5–9)5015742.9%11.4%0.83
Wide (10+)1981511.3%7.6%0.93

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)3035541.4%18.2%1.02
On-pace (4–6)2952720.3%9.2%0.65
Midfield (7–10)2451813.5%7.3%0.78
Backmarkers (11+)8310.8%1.2%0.29
Unknown2773224.1%11.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)402317.3%57.5%0.95
Pop ($2–5)2466246.6%25.2%0.88
Mid ($5–10)2943224.1%10.9%0.80
Roughie (>$10)6231612%2.6%0.61

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.