HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunshine CoastSunday 12 July 2026

Sunshine Coast R3

13:25Australian Business & Hospitality Training Mdn Hcp
1200mMaidenRail: +3m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Australian Business & Hospitality Training Mdn Hcp — a 1200m maiden at Sunshine Coast, jumping at 13:25 on — ground, rail +3m. 16 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sunshine Coast has staged 90 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 45 of 90 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 29 of 90 (32.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (8 from 169).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 40 of 90 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 284 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+3m ±1m) covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.03 (8 from 51).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.43 (1 from 8); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.95 (3 from 70); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Ron Stewart is 4 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.46) and has #9 Kaida Odori here.
  • Jockey Taylor Marshall is 4 from 29 at today’s meeting profile (13.8% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #2 King Emperor here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 90 races (90 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3404550%13.2%0.88
Middle (5–9)3503235.6%9.1%0.76
Wide (10+)1581314.4%8.2%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1802932.2%16.1%0.99
On-pace (4–6)1742123.3%12.1%0.86
Midfield (7–10)16988.9%4.7%0.52
Backmarkers (11+)4122.2%4.9%0.64
Unknown2843033.3%10.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191011.1%52.6%0.92
Pop ($2–5)1874044.4%21.4%0.74
Mid ($5–10)1872527.8%13.4%1.01
Roughie (>$10)4551516.7%3.3%0.80

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.