Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate — a 1000m maiden at Bairnsdale, jumping at 13:00 on — ground, rail true. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Bairnsdale has staged 12 races at 1000m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 12 (41.7% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.64 (4 from 24).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 12 (66.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.33).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 12 (66.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.41 (1 from 65).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.64 (4 from 24).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.33 (8 from 36).
- Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.12 (8 from 23).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 124 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #3 Son Of Magnus here.
- Trainer Alexander Rae: 11 from 40 (27.5%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #4 Canny Miss here.
- Trainer C W McDonald: 8 from 36 (22.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Prestige Star here.
- Jockey Craig Newitt is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #10 Chadlington here.
- Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes is 2 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #12 My China Plate here.