Bairnsdale R7

15:30O'Donnells Transport Lakes Entrance Cup 20th September (Bm56)
1000mBenchmark 56Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

O'Donnells Transport Lakes Entrance Cup 20th September (Bm56)a 1000m benchmark 56 at Bairnsdale, jumping at 15:30 on ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Bairnsdale has staged 12 races at 1000m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 12 (41.7% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.64 (4 from 24).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 12 (66.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.33).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 12 (66.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.41 (1 from 65).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.64 (4 from 24).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.33 (8 from 36).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.12 (8 from 23).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Caitlin Hollowood: 8 from 29 (27.6%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Irresistible Sir here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 124 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Risky Whisky here.
  • Trainer Andrea Leek: 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Ruby Avenue here.
  • Jockey Craig Newitt is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #8 Derelict here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)45541.7%11.1%0.73
Middle (5–9)54325%5.6%0.56
Wide (10+)24433.3%16.7%1.64

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)36866.7%22.2%1.33
On-pace (4–6)36216.7%5.6%0.48
Midfield (7–10)41216.7%4.9%0.53
Backmarkers (11+)1000%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)118.3%100%1.50
Pop ($2–5)23866.7%34.8%1.12
Mid ($5–10)34216.7%5.9%0.46
Roughie (>$10)6518.3%1.5%0.41

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.