Bairnsdale R6

15:00Hygain Tracktorque (Bm56)
2200mBenchmark 56Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hygain Tracktorque (Bm56)a 2200m benchmark 56 at Bairnsdale, jumping at 15:00 on ground, rail true. 17 runners engaged.

At the trip

Bairnsdale has staged 7 races at 2200m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 7 (71.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.80).
  • Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 2 of 7 (28.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 2 of 7 each (28.6% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.25 (2 from 38).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 23 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 5 of the 7 winners (5 from 23 runners, A/E 1.80) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 124 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Amaram here.
  • Trainer Peter Gelagotis: 8 from 46 (17.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Thunder Zeus here.
  • Jockey Jason Maskiell is 4 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (40.0% strike, A/E 1.65) and has #9 Avonview here.
  • Jockey Craig Newitt is 4 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #11 Thunder Zeus here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2200m · 7 races (7 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)23571.4%21.7%1.80
Middle (5–9)28114.3%3.6%0.26
Wide (10+)18114.3%5.6%0.50

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)14114.3%7.1%0.35
On-pace (4–6)16114.3%6.2%0.62
Midfield (7–10)12228.6%16.7%1.46
Backmarkers (11+)4114.3%25%3.95
Unknown23228.6%8.7%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3114.3%33.3%0.63
Pop ($2–5)10228.6%20%0.71
Mid ($5–10)18228.6%11.1%0.78
Roughie (>$10)38228.6%5.3%1.25

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.