Dubbo R1

11:50Elders Dubbo Rural (Bm58)
2200mBenchmark 58Rail: +3m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Elders Dubbo Rural (Bm58)a 2200m benchmark 58 at Dubbo, jumping at 11:50 on ground, rail +3m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Dubbo has staged 10 races at 2200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 10 (70.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.35).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 10 (60.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); the value band has been Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.42 (4 from 20).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 13 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 3 of the 4 winners (3 from 11 runners, A/E 1.38) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Damon Budler: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Farraige here.
  • Trainer Ms J Clement: 21 from 121 (17.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Hardyo, #7 Bill Peyto here.
  • Trainer G D Lunn is 4 from 34 at today’s meeting profile (11.8% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #3 Charlotting here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2200m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)39330%7.7%0.46
Middle (5–9)29770%24.1%1.35
Wide (10+)600%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27660%22.2%1.20
On-pace (4–6)25220%8%0.50
Midfield (7–10)9110%11.1%0.54
Unknown13110%7.7%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)25550%20%0.65
Mid ($5–10)20440%20%1.42
Roughie (>$10)29110%3.4%0.63

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.