XXXX Ultra Country Boosted (Bm58) — a 1100m benchmark 58 at Dubbo, jumping at 14:20 on — ground, rail +3m. 14 runners engaged.
At the trip
Dubbo has staged 27 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 14 of 27 (50.0% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (6 from 118).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 6 of 27 each (21.4% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (2 from 43).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 27 (46.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 139 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.08 (6 from 40); overall it's Wide (10+).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.82 (1 from 7); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.00 (3 from 22).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Damon Budler: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #10 Be Guided here.
- Trainer Ms J Clement: 21 from 121 (17.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Adviser here.
- Jockey Mathew Cahill is 10 from 48 at today’s meeting profile (20.8% strike, A/E 1.48) and has #5 Alpine Rose here.