Stone & Wood Mdn Hcp — a 1600m maiden at Dubbo, jumping at 12:25 on — ground, rail +3m. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Dubbo has staged 19 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 10 of 19 (52.6% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.86 (3 from 25).
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 7 of 19 (36.8% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.21).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 19 (63.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.50 (3 from 43).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 62 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.53 (2 from 13).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.11 (4 from 24).
- Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.39 (7 from 17).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Damon Budler: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — rides #10 Sonnig here.
- Trainer Anthony Mountney: 5 from 31 (16.1%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 Sonnig here.