Marty Nelson Refrigeration & Air Conditioning Country Boosted (Bm58) — a 1100m benchmark 58 at Dubbo, jumping at 14:55 on — ground, rail +3m. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Dubbo has staged 27 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 14 of 27 (50.0% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (6 from 118).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 6 of 27 each (21.4% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (2 from 43).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 27 (46.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 139 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.08 (6 from 40); overall it's Wide (10+).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.82 (1 from 7); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.00 (3 from 22).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Nick Palmer: 6 from 39 (15.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Gidgee Guy here.
- Trainer Angus Stewart is 3 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.50) and has #4 De Joker here.