HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← GraftonSunday 5 July 2026

Grafton R2

12:20Grafton Gas & Plumbing Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1720mMaidenRail: + 5 entire
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.94top 3
Ranked 1st
5. Sheriff's Star
Jake Bayliss (4)
Ranked 2nd
9. Kiwi Harmony
Cejay Graham (1)
Ranked 3rd
7. Durness
Ben Looker (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
6 Snow Halation(2)
3 My Little Red Fox(3)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
9 Kiwi Harmony(1)
5 Sheriff's Star(4)
8 Finding Elle(5)
7 Durness(6)
4 Play It Cool(7)
10 Pressipitating(8)
1 Awarded Glory(9)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
11 Washik(10)
2 Legin(11)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 18 sampled runnings of 1720m at Grafton: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 18 winners (55.6% of winners, 18.5% strike, 0.97 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 8 of 18 winners (44.4% of winners, 11.6% strike, 0.8 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 4 (50.0% strike, 0.83 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 16.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1720m · 18 races (18 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)69844.4%11.6%0.80
Middle (5–9)79527.8%6.3%0.50
Wide (10+)30527.8%16.7%2.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)541055.6%18.5%0.97
On-pace (4–6)54633.3%11.1%1.00
Midfield (7–10)5315.6%1.9%0.22
Backmarkers (11+)1715.6%5.9%0.85

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4211.1%50%0.83
Pop ($2–5)33738.9%21.2%0.69
Mid ($5–10)41633.3%14.6%1.10
Roughie (>$10)100316.7%3%0.76