HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← GraftonSunday 5 July 2026

Grafton R4

13:40Maclean Hotel Country Boosted Belflyer Prelude Hcp (C3)
1115mClass 3Rail: + 5 entire
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.86top 3
Ranked 1st
5. Their Finest Hour
Noriyuki Masuda (5)
Ranked 2nd
10. Enniroc
Grady Spokes (15)
Ranked 3rd
14. The Torque Xpress
Jett Newman (1)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
15 Beer Baron(2)
17 Parana River(4)
16 Zucchero(12)
Midfield9
settle 7–10
14 The Torque Xpress(1)
11 Torovista(6)
7 Barello(7)
6 Somerton Smart(8)
1 Lovewillcomelater(10)
18 Vendemmia(14)
10 Enniroc(15)
19 Tryanza(16)
4 Dance Gavin Dance(18)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
3 Chilled With Ice(3)
5 Their Finest Hour(5)
12 Sirsa Nuwa(9)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
9 Dark Chill(2)
8 Copperline(11)
2 Immortality(13)

Historical overview

Across the 23 sampled runnings of 1115m at Grafton: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 15 of 23 winners (65.2% of winners, 22.7% strike, 1.38 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 11 of 23 winners (47.8% of winners, 12.5% strike, 0.96 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 4 (50.0% strike, 0.9 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1115m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)881147.8%12.5%0.96
Middle (5–9)1001043.5%10%0.88
Wide (10+)5528.7%3.6%0.38

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)661565.2%22.7%1.38
On-pace (4–6)66626.1%9.1%0.80
Midfield (7–10)8214.3%1.2%0.14
Backmarkers (11+)1700%0%0.00
Unknown1214.3%8.3%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)428.7%50%0.90
Pop ($2–5)421043.5%23.8%0.83
Mid ($5–10)64730.4%10.9%0.82
Roughie (>$10)133417.4%3%0.77