HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← GraftonSunday 5 July 2026

Grafton R7

15:35Herb Blanchard Haulage Hcp (C1)
1215mClass 1Rail: + 5 entire
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.45top 3
Ranked 1st
3. Here's Beau
Justin P Stanley (12)
Ranked 2nd
4. The Dux Nuts
Grady Spokes (9)
Ranked 3rd
2. Booya Boy
Bella Youngberry (13)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
7 Rubick Dancer(6)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
10 Whiskey Miss(2)
11 Releasethewolves(5)
12 Evony(7)
13 Picupstixx(8)
6 Australasia(10)
5 Red Chick(11)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
9 Midwest Princess(1)
8 Manhattan Dress(4)
4 The Dux Nuts(9)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
1 Permission Granted(3)
3 Here's Beau(12)
2 Booya Boy(13)

Historical overview

Across the 18 sampled runnings of 1215m at Grafton: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 18 winners (55.6% of winners, 20.8% strike, 1.23 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 13 of 18 winners (72.2% of winners, 16.7% strike, 1.31 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 3 (66.7% strike, 1.1 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 22.2% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1215m · 18 races (18 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)65422.2%6.2%0.51
Middle (5–9)781372.2%16.7%1.31
Wide (10+)5615.6%1.8%0.26

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)481055.6%20.8%1.23
On-pace (4–6)48211.1%4.2%0.40
Midfield (7–10)54316.7%5.6%0.69
Backmarkers (11+)2315.6%4.3%0.61
Unknown26211.1%7.7%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3211.1%66.7%1.10
Pop ($2–5)37738.9%18.9%0.69
Mid ($5–10)36527.8%13.9%1.01
Roughie (>$10)123422.2%3.3%0.85