Grafton R5

14:16CJM Lawyers Grafton Cup Prelude

2230mOpenRail: + 5 entire

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.36top 3

Ranked 1st

4. Spenzalot

Mikayla Weir (8)

Ranked 2nd

6. Brilliant Knight

Ben Looker (3)

Ranked 3rd

3. Ring Ahoy

Grady Spokes (7)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers2

settle 11+

3Ring Ahoy(7)

4Spenzalot(8)

Midfield5

settle 7–10

11Castel Trosino(4)

8Miss Dynamo(5)

13Got An Inspiration(6)

1Diablo Bolt(10)

2Mistressofillusion(13)

On-pace6

settle 3–6

7Vermeer(1)

12Ottoman Empire(2)

6Brilliant Knight(3)

9Rock The Machine(9)

5Bonfidelity(11)

10Bright The Sun(12)

Leaders0

pushing for the lead

—

Historical overview

Across the 15 sampled runnings of 2230m at Grafton: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 15 winners (40.0% of winners, 14.3% strike, 0.88 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 6 of 15 winners (40.0% of winners, 11.8% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 0 from 1 (0.0% strike, 0.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 26.7% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance

2230m · 15 races (15 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	51	6	40%	11.8%	0.83
Middle (5–9)	65	6	40%	9.2%	0.65
Wide (10+)	29	3	20%	10.3%	1.77

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	42	6	40%	14.3%	0.88
On-pace (4–6)	42	5	33.3%	11.9%	0.90
Midfield (7–10)	41	3	20%	7.3%	0.77
Backmarkers (11+)	10	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	10	1	6.7%	10%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	1	0	0%	0%	0.00
Pop ($2–5)	33	5	33.3%	15.2%	0.52
Mid ($5–10)	32	6	40%	18.8%	1.37
Roughie (>$10)	79	4	26.7%	5.1%	1.18