HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Belmont ParkSaturday 11 July 2026

Belmont Park R2

15:28TABtouch - Westspeed Platinum (Rs0ly)
1400mRst 0 Met Win-LYRail: +8m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

TABtouch - Westspeed Platinum (Rs0ly) — a 1400m rst 0 met win-ly at Belmont Park, jumping at 15:28 on — ground, rail +8m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Belmont Park has staged 68 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 33 of 68 (48.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 24 of 68 (35.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 27 of 68 (39.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.95 (6 from 48); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 4–6 — A/E 1.49 (7 from 35); overall it's Settle position 7–10.
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.25 (4 from 24).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Lucy F Fiore: 10 from 60 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Secret Identity here.
  • Trainer Josh Brown: 5 from 28 (17.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 Flinders Lane here.
  • Jockey Brayden Gaerth is 7 from 84 at today’s meeting profile (8.3% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #3 Our Rocky Bay here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 68 races (68 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2701927.9%7%0.63
Middle (5–9)3183348.5%10.4%0.93
Wide (10+)1941623.5%8.2%0.94

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2042029.4%9.8%0.70
On-pace (4–6)2021725%8.4%0.76
Midfield (7–10)2482435.3%9.7%1.04
Backmarkers (11+)126710.3%5.6%0.82
Unknown200%0%—

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1768.8%35.3%0.57
Pop ($2–5)1042739.7%26%0.89
Mid ($5–10)1682232.4%13.1%0.98
Roughie (>$10)4911319.1%2.6%0.67

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.