Mrs Mac's (Bm66+) — a 1200m benchmark 66+ at Belmont Park, jumping at 17:52 on — ground, rail +8m. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Belmont Park has staged 90 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 45 of 90 (49.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 33 of 90 (36.3% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.15 (1 from 114).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 51 of 90 (56.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 17 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Wide (10+) — A/E 0.91 (2 from 31); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 0.97 (5 from 51).
- Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.08 (4 from 26); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Patrick Carbery × Mitchell Pateman are 5 from 21 (23.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #12 Just Walter John here.
- Jockey William Pike: 63 from 219 (28.8%) in the last 90 days (25 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Magical Sequence here.
- Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 51 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Hedawood here.
- Trainer Simon Miller: 6 from 22 (27.3%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Magnique, #5 Shmoov Moova, #6 Eliteone here.
- Trainer J F Miller: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #8 Magical Sequence here.
- Trainer C & M Gangemi is 11 from 70 at today’s meeting profile (15.7% strike, A/E 1.30) and has #2 King Adviso here.