Te Rapa R1

10:10OTL Group Mdn

2100mMaidenRail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.12top 3

Ranked 1st

2. The Darzi

Erin M Leighton (1)

Ranked 2nd

9. Long Island

Tom Wigram (12)

Ranked 3rd

10. Playinasandpit

(7)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers3

settle 11+

2The Darzi(1)

11Diva Kingdom(2)

10Playinasandpit(7)

Midfield7

settle 7–10

1Satomi(3)

3Arkadus(4)

15Sweet Taboo(6)

4Janka(9)

12Heavenly Lady(10)

9Long Island(12)

7Juwala(13)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

14Outrageous(5)

13Maria Martina(8)

6Afore Ye Go(14)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

5Paper Romance(11)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 2100m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 10 of 12 winners (83.3% of winners, 9.2% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Wide (10+) — 6 of 12 winners (50.0% of winners, 17.1% strike, 1.88 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: roughies (>$10) supply 33.3% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

2100m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	45	3	25%	6.7%	0.57
Middle (5–9)	57	3	25%	5.3%	0.51
Wide (10+)	35	6	50%	17.1%	1.88

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	6	0	0%	0%	0.00
On-pace (4–6)	6	1	8.3%	16.7%	1.38
Midfield (7–10)	8	0	0%	0%	0.00
Backmarkers (11+)	8	1	8.3%	12.5%	1.66
Unknown	109	10	83.3%	9.2%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Pop ($2–5)	19	5	41.7%	26.3%	1.01
Mid ($5–10)	39	3	25%	7.7%	0.52
Roughie (>$10)	79	4	33.3%	5.1%	1.10