Te Rapa R3

11:20Jack & June Stewart Memorial 3yo

1200mOpenRail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.94top 3

Ranked 1st

5. Aurora Belle

Michael Mc Nab (1)

Ranked 2nd

1. Swiss Prince

Jack Taplin (7)

Ranked 3rd

6. Flyhalf

Matthew Cameron (3)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers0

settle 11+

—

Midfield2

settle 7–10

7Ocean Opal(4)

2Winner Patch(5)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

8Luminance(2)

6Flyhalf(3)

3Armagh(6)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

5Aurora Belle(1)

4Angels Brew(2)

1Swiss Prince(7)

Historical overview

Across the 40 sampled runnings of 1200m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 33 of 40 winners (82.5% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.84 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Wide (10+) — 14 of 40 winners (35.0% of winners, 13.6% strike, 1.15 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 4 (75.0% strike, 1.06 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.5% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1200m · 40 races (40 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	142	13	32.5%	9.2%	0.74
Middle (5–9)	168	13	32.5%	7.7%	0.71
Wide (10+)	103	14	35%	13.6%	1.15

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	22	4	10%	18.2%	1.00
On-pace (4–6)	21	2	5%	9.5%	0.87
Midfield (7–10)	21	0	0%	0%	0.00
Backmarkers (11+)	7	1	2.5%	14.3%	3.18
Unknown	342	33	82.5%	9.6%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	4	3	7.5%	75%	1.06
Pop ($2–5)	64	17	42.5%	26.6%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	102	13	32.5%	12.7%	0.92
Roughie (>$10)	243	7	17.5%	2.9%	0.58