HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Te RapaSaturday 4 July 2026

Te Rapa R7

13:47UBP Te Awamutu Cup
1600mOpenRail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.83top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Joshua Brown
Lynsey Satherley (4)
Ranked 2nd
2. Uderzo
Sam McNab (5)
Ranked 3rd
9. Astoria Brooke
Michael Mc Nab (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield7
settle 7–10
3 Rosetown Princess(2)
7 Procella(3)
1 Joshua Brown(4)
2 Uderzo(5)
9 Astoria Brooke(6)
4 Solidify(7)
8 Rudyard(8)
On-pace1
settle 3–6
6 Amira D'argento(1)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 31 sampled runnings of 1600m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 27 of 31 winners (87.1% of winners, 8.7% strike, 0.83 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 11 of 31 winners (35.5% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.94 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 5 (40.0% strike, 0.63 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 32.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 31 races (31 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1151135.5%9.6%0.94
Middle (5–9)1281032.3%7.8%0.69
Wide (10+)1211032.3%8.3%0.92

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1200%0%0.00
On-pace (4–6)1239.7%25%2.24
Midfield (7–10)1613.2%6.2%0.62
Backmarkers (11+)1300%0%0.00
Unknown3112787.1%8.7%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)526.5%40%0.63
Pop ($2–5)35825.8%22.9%0.80
Mid ($5–10)891135.5%12.4%0.92
Roughie (>$10)2351032.3%4.3%0.84