HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Te RapaSaturday 4 July 2026

Te Rapa R6

13:12John F Grylls Memorial Classic (Bm75)
1400mBenchmark 75Rail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.57top 3
Ranked 1st
2. What A Yarn
Craig Grylls (3)
Ranked 2nd
7. Sense Of Timing
Michael Mc Nab (7)
Ranked 3rd
9. Super Wraith
Jasmine Fawcett (2)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
1 Tregor(4)
7 Sense Of Timing(7)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
10 Elysian Fields(1)
3 Lotus(5)
6 Ribkraka(9)
12 Catherinenz(11)
5 Moneypenny(12)
On-pace6
settle 3–6
9 Super Wraith(2)
2 What A Yarn(3)
11 Artamos(6)
14 Imperial Empress(8)
8 Dramatic Miss(10)
4 Lovaci(13)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 30 sampled runnings of 1400m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 22 of 30 winners (73.3% of winners, 8.9% strike, 0.84 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 12 of 30 winners (40.0% of winners, 8.8% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 0 from 1 (0.0% strike, 0.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 40.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 30 races (30 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1091033.3%9.2%0.84
Middle (5–9)1361240%8.8%0.83
Wide (10+)109826.7%7.3%0.84

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)24413.3%16.7%1.36
On-pace (4–6)24310%12.5%1.09
Midfield (7–10)3213.3%3.1%0.58
Backmarkers (11+)2600%0%0.00
Unknown2482273.3%8.9%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)45826.7%17.8%0.64
Mid ($5–10)831033.3%12%0.85
Roughie (>$10)2251240%5.3%1.08