HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Te RapaSaturday 4 July 2026

Te Rapa R2

10:45Mark Sanders Memorial (Bm75)
2400mBenchmark 75Rail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.04top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Notabadspillane
Sam McNab (9)
Ranked 2nd
2. Gold Currency
George Rooke (3)
Ranked 3rd
9. Charlbury
Ethan Jones (7)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
7 In A Pickle(6)
11 Lord Goliath(10)
Midfield2
settle 7–10
9 Charlbury(7)
1 Notabadspillane(9)
On-pace6
settle 3–6
12 Pure Bars(1)
6 Kwanza(2)
2 Gold Currency(3)
5 King Khan(4)
8 Squire(5)
4 Hakata Bay(8)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 9 sampled runnings of 2400m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 6 of 9 winners (66.7% of winners, 8.2% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 5 of 9 winners (55.6% of winners, 15.2% strike, 1.1 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 0 from 1 (0.0% strike, 0.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 22.2% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
2400m · 9 races (9 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)33555.6%15.2%1.10
Middle (5–9)38222.2%5.3%0.53
Wide (10+)26222.2%7.7%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)9111.1%11.1%0.62
On-pace (4–6)8111.1%12.5%1.04
Midfield (7–10)7111.1%14.3%0.99
Unknown73666.7%8.2%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)11222.2%18.2%0.73
Mid ($5–10)32555.6%15.6%1.13
Roughie (>$10)53222.2%3.8%0.68