Te Rapa R4

12:02Irwin's Truck & Bus (Bm65)

1200mBenchmark 65Rail: Out 12mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.55top 3

Ranked 1st

7. Tale Of The Gypsy

George Rooke (2)

Ranked 2nd

1. Billy Blinx

Tom Wigram (11)

Ranked 3rd

2. Le Jacques Cartier

Sam McNab (13)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers3

settle 11+

9Zenzero Girl(8)

10Santita(10)

1Billy Blinx(11)

Midfield6

settle 7–10

8Durrani(1)

7Tale Of The Gypsy(2)

11Atlanta Gold(4)

14Jade Dragon(7)

4Lord Jimmy(14)

13Return Message(15)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

15Flyhalf(6)

12Illuminated Miss(9)

3Hey Hey Baby(12)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

5Oberon(3)

6Starlit Express(5)

2Le Jacques Cartier(13)

Historical overview

Across the 40 sampled runnings of 1200m at Te Rapa: Unknown — 33 of 40 winners (82.5% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.84 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 7–10 back. From the gates, Wide (10+) — 14 of 40 winners (35.0% of winners, 13.6% strike, 1.15 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 4 (75.0% strike, 1.06 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.5% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Wide (10+) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1200m · 40 races (40 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	142	13	32.5%	9.2%	0.74
Middle (5–9)	168	13	32.5%	7.7%	0.71
Wide (10+)	103	14	35%	13.6%	1.15

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	22	4	10%	18.2%	1.00
On-pace (4–6)	21	2	5%	9.5%	0.87
Midfield (7–10)	21	0	0%	0%	0.00
Backmarkers (11+)	7	1	2.5%	14.3%	3.18
Unknown	342	33	82.5%	9.6%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	4	3	7.5%	75%	1.06
Pop ($2–5)	64	17	42.5%	26.6%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	102	13	32.5%	12.7%	0.92
Roughie (>$10)	243	7	17.5%	2.9%	0.58