Geelong R1

12:30Ladbrokes Owners Promotion Mdn Plate
1443mMaidenRail: Out 9m 1700m - 800m, Out 10m Remainder
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Owners Promotion Mdn Platea 1443m maiden at Geelong, jumping at 12:30 on ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Geelong has staged 21 races at 1443m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 12 of 21 (57.1% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (6 from 79).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 9 of 21 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 21 (52.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 32 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 8 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.97 (4 from 28); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.40 (5 from 24).
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.13 (4 from 25); overall it's Roughie (>$10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Harry Coffey × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 5 from 23 (21.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Mission Of Joy here.
  • Jockey Dean Yendall: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Needlestick here.
  • Jockey John Allen: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Lyrebird Lady here.
  • Trainer M J Williams is 4 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (18.2% strike, A/E 1.54) and has #7 Needlestick here.
  • Jockey Jack Hill is 3 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (9.1% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #3 Gasoline Rainbow here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1443m · 21 races (21 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)79628.6%7.6%0.58
Middle (5–9)901257.1%13.3%1.06
Wide (10+)36314.3%8.3%0.79

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)54942.9%16.7%1.01
On-pace (4–6)54523.8%9.3%0.72
Midfield (7–10)57419%7%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)800%0%0.00
Unknown32314.3%9.4%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)441152.4%25%0.84
Mid ($5–10)46523.8%10.9%0.81
Roughie (>$10)113523.8%4.4%1.03

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.