Ethos Building & Restoration (Bm62) — a 1243m benchmark 62 at Geelong, jumping at 16:00 on — ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Geelong has staged 20 races at 1243m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 20 (65.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.24).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 20 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 20 (60.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (2 from 100).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.33 (6 from 35).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.86 (4 from 24).
- Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.19 (3 from 19); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Chelsea Thompson × Jamie Edwards are 7 from 9 (77.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Mannerheim here.
- Together, Harry Coffey × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 5 from 23 (21.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Warrior Smile here.
- Jockey Jackson Radley: 10 from 53 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Kagemusha here.
- Jockey John Allen: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Always Hapi here.
- Trainer T & C McEvoy: 27 from 148 (18.2%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Prestar here.
- Trainer A & J Williams: 5 from 19 (26.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #15 Racetothebottom here.