Geelong R4

14:00Steadfast Life (Bm64)
1243mBenchmark 64Rail: Out 9m 1700m - 800m, Out 10m Remainder
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Steadfast Life (Bm64)a 1243m benchmark 64 at Geelong, jumping at 14:00 on ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Geelong has staged 20 races at 1243m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 20 (65.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.24).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 20 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 20 (60.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (2 from 100).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.33 (6 from 35).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.86 (4 from 24).
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.19 (3 from 19); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Harry Coffey × T & C McEvoy are 9 from 37 (24.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Audio Pop Cam here.
  • Together, Thomas Stockdale × C Maher are 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #5 Yuki here.
  • Jockey Jackson Radley: 10 from 53 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #13 Get Honor here.
  • Jockey Dean Yendall: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Dynamite Dancer here.
  • Trainer G Eurell: 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Humble Trader here.
  • Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 192 (19.8%) in the last 90 days (17 of those in the last 30) — saddles #7 Himeno here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1243m · 20 races (20 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)74525%6.8%0.48
Middle (5–9)801365%16.2%1.24
Wide (10+)34210%5.9%0.61

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)54840%14.8%0.89
On-pace (4–6)54525%9.3%0.64
Midfield (7–10)48525%10.4%1.12
Backmarkers (11+)700%0%0.00
Unknown25210%8%0.74

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3210%66.7%1.23
Pop ($2–5)471260%25.5%0.89
Mid ($5–10)38420%10.5%0.76
Roughie (>$10)100210%2%0.53

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.