Aviso Integral Insurance Services Mdn Plate — a 1243m maiden at Geelong, jumping at 13:30 on — ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 16 runners engaged.
At the trip
Geelong has staged 20 races at 1243m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 20 (65.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.24).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 20 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 20 (60.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (2 from 100).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.33 (6 from 35).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.86 (4 from 24).
- Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.19 (3 from 19); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brad Rawiller: 29 from 184 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #14 Whatittakes here.
- Trainer J F Macmillan: 5 from 18 (27.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Ilustrious Warrior here.
- Trainer R D Griffiths is 4 from 11 at today’s meeting profile (36.4% strike, A/E 2.33) and has #7 French Accord here.
- Jockey Luke Currie is 10 from 46 at today’s meeting profile (21.7% strike, A/E 1.37) and has #7 French Accord here.