Geelong R7

15:30The Jai Roderick Memorial Race (Bm56)
1760mBenchmark 56Rail: Out 9m 1700m - 800m, Out 10m Remainder
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

The Jai Roderick Memorial Race (Bm56)a 1760m benchmark 56 at Geelong, jumping at 15:30 on ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Geelong has staged 15 races at 1760m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 15 (46.7% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.59 (3 from 32).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 15 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 15 (46.7% win share); the value band has been Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.23 (6 from 36).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 2.05 (2 from 13).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 7–10 — A/E 0.94 (3 from 36); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.93 (2 from 52); overall it's Mid ($5–10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Thomas Stockdale × C Maher are 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Miss Trustful here.
  • Jockey Olivia East: 12 from 66 (18.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #10 Mozzoni here.
  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 29 from 184 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #5 Treasury Place here.
  • Trainer A & J Williams: 5 from 19 (26.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Tee Eight here.
  • Jockey Bailey Kinninmont is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 2.84) and has #7 Almago here.
  • Jockey Neil Farley is 6 from 56 at today’s meeting profile (10.7% strike, A/E 1.26) and has #2 Albanian I Am here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1760m · 15 races (15 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)55533.3%9.1%0.61
Middle (5–9)67746.7%10.4%0.86
Wide (10+)32320%9.4%1.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)42640%14.3%0.91
On-pace (4–6)42533.3%11.9%0.82
Midfield (7–10)48320%6.2%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)1000%0%0.00
Unknown1216.7%8.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)29746.7%24.1%0.77
Mid ($5–10)36640%16.7%1.23
Roughie (>$10)87213.3%2.3%0.62

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.