Eclipse Insurance (Bm56) — a 1760m benchmark 56 at Geelong, jumping at 15:00 on — ground, rail out 9m 1700m - 800m, out 10m remainder. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Geelong has staged 15 races at 1760m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 15 (46.7% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.59 (3 from 32).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 15 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 15 (46.7% win share); the value band has been Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.23 (6 from 36).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 2.05 (2 from 13).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 7–10 — A/E 0.94 (3 from 36); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.93 (2 from 52); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jackson Radley: 10 from 53 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Contours here.
- Jockey John Allen: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Impending Swan here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Contours here.
- Trainer Archie Alexander: 10 from 63 (15.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 Catalona here.
- Jockey Joe Bowditch is 3 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (15.8% strike, A/E 1.91) and has #7 Flying Jude here.
- Jockey Lachlan Neindorf is 9 from 39 at today’s meeting profile (23.1% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #12 Left Hook here.