TAB Highway Plate (C3) — a 1600m class 3 at Randwick, jumping at 11:45 on — ground, rail +9m. 17 runners engaged.
At the trip
Randwick has staged 59 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 27 of 59 (45.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 21 of 59 (35.6% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.39 (3 from 129).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 59 (42.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (10 from 448).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 14 runners, A/E 1.51) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Rachel King: 29 from 152 (19.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #12 Hammett here.
- Jockey Aaron Bullock: 31 from 166 (18.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Release Point here.
- Trainer P Messara & L Gavranich: 11 from 54 (20.4%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — saddles #14 Maples here.
- Trainer Michael Travers: 6 from 24 (25.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Demi God here.
- Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #6 Dunstall The Gun here.
- Trainer Matthew Dale is 6 from 50 at today’s meeting profile (12.0% strike, A/E 1.26) and has #12 Hammett here.