Toyota Forklifts (Bm88) — a 1400m benchmark 88 at Randwick, jumping at 16:00 on — ground, rail +9m. 15 runners engaged.
At the trip
Randwick has staged 50 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 21 of 50 (42.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 16 of 50 (32.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 30 of 50 (60.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (9 from 388).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 6 of the 7 winners (6 from 14 runners, A/E 1.65) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Pierre Boudvillain × Fabio Martino are 3 from 4 (75.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #15 Substantial here.
- Together, Rachel King × Bjorn Baker are 10 from 30 (33.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Thunderlips here.
- Jockey Aaron Bullock: 31 from 166 (18.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #12 Imposant here.
- Jockey Siena Grima: 11 from 66 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Lugh here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Lugh, #14 It's A Knockout, #16 Until Valhalla here.
- Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 216 (15.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #9 Emirate, #11 Watcha Matey, #13 Narbold here.