Robrick Lodge Eremein (Bm78) — a 1600m benchmark 78 at Randwick, jumping at 15:20 on — ground, rail +9m. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Randwick has staged 59 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 27 of 59 (45.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 21 of 59 (35.6% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.39 (3 from 129).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 59 (42.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (10 from 448).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 14 runners, A/E 1.51) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 73 (21.9%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #11 Concordia Wind here.
- Together, Rachel King × G Waterhouse & A Bott are 6 from 29 (20.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Conchiero here.
- Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 12 from 70 (17.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Who Ever Thought here.
- Trainer Tom Charlton: 8 from 34 (23.5%) in the last 30 days — saddles #7 Zouna here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Until Valhalla here.
- Trainer Richard & Will Freedman is 6 from 53 at today’s meeting profile (11.3% strike, A/E 1.35) and has #3 Cold Brew here.