Precise Air (Bm88) — a 1800m benchmark 88 at Randwick, jumping at 14:40 on — ground, rail +9m. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Randwick has staged 17 races at 1800m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) and Wide (10+) win the most races here — 6 of 17 each (35.3% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.85 (6 from 42).
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.20 (5 from 100).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Wide (10+) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 6 runners, A/E 6.94) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 73 (21.9%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #4 Tazima here.
- Together, Rachel King × G Waterhouse & A Bott are 6 from 29 (20.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #11 Sly Boots here.
- Jockey Aaron Bullock: 31 from 166 (18.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Sky Lab here.
- Jockey Winona Costin is 3 from 50 at today’s meeting profile (6.0% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #8 Time Quest here.
- Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough is 5 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (15.2% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #1 Williamsburg here.