Randwick R4

12:55Cactus Imaging (Bm72)
1100mBenchmark 72Rail: +9m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Cactus Imaging (Bm72)a 1100m benchmark 72 at Randwick, jumping at 12:55 on ground, rail +9m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Randwick has staged 27 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 12 of 27 (44.4% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.27 (7 from 69).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 10 of 27 (37.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 27 (48.1% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (5 from 69).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 2 of the 3 winners (2 from 9 runners, A/E 1.34) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Rachel King × Bjorn Baker are 10 from 30 (33.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Jarrito here.
  • Jockey Siena Grima: 11 from 66 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Benevac here.
  • Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Benevac here.
  • Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 31 from 205 (15.1%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Albany Road here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 27 races (27 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)99829.6%8.1%0.62
Middle (5–9)1201244.4%10%0.87
Wide (10+)69725.9%10.1%1.27

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)81933.3%11.1%0.77
On-pace (4–6)811037%12.3%0.99
Midfield (7–10)92622.2%6.5%0.73
Backmarkers (11+)3427.4%5.9%0.91

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)427.4%50%0.84
Pop ($2–5)481348.1%27.1%0.97
Mid ($5–10)69518.5%7.2%0.54
Roughie (>$10)167725.9%4.2%0.97

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.