Asahi Super Dry (Bm78) — a 1800m benchmark 78 at Randwick, jumping at 13:30 on — ground, rail +9m. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Randwick has staged 17 races at 1800m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) and Wide (10+) win the most races here — 6 of 17 each (35.3% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.85 (6 from 42).
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.20 (5 from 100).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Wide (10+) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 6 runners, A/E 6.94) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Rachel King × Bjorn Baker are 10 from 30 (33.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Celebrity here.
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 73 (21.9%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #4 Existential Bob here.
- Jockey Aaron Bullock: 31 from 166 (18.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Sacrify here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Amplify here.
- Trainer Richard & Will Freedman is 6 from 53 at today’s meeting profile (11.3% strike, A/E 1.35) and has #9 Horizons here.