Randwick R6

14:05Kieran Moore (Bm78)
1000mBenchmark 78Rail: +9m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Kieran Moore (Bm78)a 1000m benchmark 78 at Randwick, jumping at 14:05 on ground, rail +9m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Randwick has staged 27 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 16 of 27 (59.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (2 from 54).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 18 of 27 (66.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.36).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 16 of 27 (59.3% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (5 from 66).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+9m ±1m) covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 3 of the 4 winners (3 from 12 runners, A/E 1.39) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 31 from 166 (18.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Engine Room here.
  • Jockey Siena Grima: 11 from 66 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #9 Sociable here.
  • Trainer D R Mirfin: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Mountain Top here.
  • Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #9 Sociable here.
  • Jockey Winona Costin is 3 from 50 at today’s meeting profile (6.0% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #11 Mountain Top here.
  • Trainer R J Quinton is 3 from 13 at today’s meeting profile (23.1% strike, A/E 1.53) and has #8 Rantan here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 27 races (27 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1021659.3%15.7%1.16
Middle (5–9)122933.3%7.4%0.61
Wide (10+)5427.4%3.7%0.53

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)811866.7%22.2%1.36
On-pace (4–6)81829.6%9.9%0.88
Midfield (7–10)8513.7%1.2%0.13
Backmarkers (11+)3000%0%0.00
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)327.4%66.7%1.10
Pop ($2–5)541659.3%29.6%1.06
Mid ($5–10)66518.5%7.6%0.54
Roughie (>$10)155414.8%2.6%0.66

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.