Ballarat Electrical Company Mdn Plate — a 1100m maiden at Ballarat, jumping at 12:40 on — ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat has staged 10 races at 1100m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 6 of 10 (60.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.35).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 18 runners, A/E 1.26) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Jabez Johnstone × C Maher are 16 from 70 (22.9%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #10 Social Pages here.
- Trainer Mitchell Freedman is 4 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (23.5% strike, A/E 2.00) and has #2 Cicconi Rain here.