Hygain Edge (Bm66) — a 1400m benchmark 66 at Ballarat, jumping at 15:20 on — ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat has staged 26 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 26 (46.2% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.40 (5 from 38).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 12 of 26 (46.2% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 21).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 26 (53.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.33 (2 from 18).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.46 (7 from 33).
- Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.93 (5 from 21); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Trainer Peter Gelagotis: 8 from 46 (17.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Margie's Boy here.
- Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 199 (19.1%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — saddles #5 Zorro's Flight here.
- Trainer Mitchell Freedman is 4 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (23.5% strike, A/E 2.00) and has #8 Bon's Bling, #12 Wild Ruby here.
- Trainer Archie Alexander is 8 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.54) and has #9 Puglia here.