Ballarat R8

16:40Hygain Edge (Bm62)
1000mBenchmark 62Rail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hygain Edge (Bm62)a 1000m benchmark 62 at Ballarat, jumping at 16:40 on ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ballarat has staged 28 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 28 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 28 (53.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.30 (2 from 69).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 28 (53.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.29) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Olivia East: 12 from 70 (17.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #10 El Salto here.
  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 30 from 187 (16.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #3 Scoobartie here.
  • Trainer Ms M Cunningham is 2 from 41 at today’s meeting profile (4.9% strike, A/E 1.60) and has #1 Orlabent here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 28 races (28 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1101242.9%10.9%0.75
Middle (5–9)1161450%12.1%0.88
Wide (10+)2327.1%8.7%1.09

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)841553.6%17.9%1.09
On-pace (4–6)841035.7%11.9%0.80
Midfield (7–10)6927.1%2.9%0.30
Backmarkers (11+)1213.6%8.3%1.75

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)613.6%16.7%0.32
Pop ($2–5)591553.6%25.4%0.87
Mid ($5–10)58725%12.1%0.88
Roughie (>$10)126517.9%4%0.94

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.