LAB Plumbing Mdn Plate — a 1000m maiden at Ballarat, jumping at 13:20 on — ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat has staged 28 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 28 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 28 (53.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.30 (2 from 69).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 28 (53.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.29) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brad Rawiller: 30 from 187 (16.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Surviving Star here.
- Jockey Jett Stanley is 3 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (18.8% strike, A/E 1.48) and has #10 Lumination here.