What the models are actually backing.
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Sunday, July 5 2026
Consensus
Our key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.$1 win · SP42 plays · 15 early market meets target
Target price = Fair +20%
| R | No. | Horse | Silk | Jockey (90d win%) | Fair | Target | odds@09:00 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:04 | Hobart(S5) | 1 | 6 | Them's The Breaks(5) | Erica Byrne Burke22.7% | $2.63 | $3.16 | $2.10 | Race → | |
| 11:37 | Te Aroha(H9) | 3 | 11 | Mont Ventoux(1) | Nick Downs16.7% | $2.89 | $3.47 | $3.50 | Race → | |
| 11:45 | Grafton(S5) | 1 | 16 | Flying Scarlett(10) | Bella Youngberry10.5% | $3.88 | $4.66 | $6.50 | Race → | |
| 11:50 | Bendigo(H10) | 2 | 5 | The Cable Guy(4) | Billy Egan18.1% | $3.02 | $3.62 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 12:09 | Te Aroha(H9) | 4 | 6 | Dink(4) | Sam McNab8.8% | $2.70 | $3.24 | $2.45 | Race → | |
| 12:13 | Hobart(S5) | 3 | 3 | Don Turboas(5) | Erica Byrne Burke22.7% | $2.43 | $2.92 | $1.95 | Race → | |
| 12:25 | Bendigo(H10) | 3 | 13 | Sashiko(2) | Harry Coffey13.4% | $2.68 | $3.22 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 12:29 | Townsville(S5) | 1 | 1 | Mind Over Matter(7) | Sean Cormack12.8% | $2.63 | $3.16 | $1.50 | Race → | |
| 12:40 | Wellington(H10) | 2 | 7 | Talkachino(6) | Jacob Stiff13.6% | $2.32 | $2.78 | $1.55 | Race → | |
| 12:45 | Casterton(S7) | 1 | 5 | Morryl Moral(6) | Steven Pateman15.4% | $3.17 | $3.80 | $1.90 | Race → | |
| 12:48 | Te Aroha(H9) | 5 | 2 | Mobilized(5) | Hamish Mc Neill4.9% | $3.04 | $3.65 | $3.70 | Race → | |
| 13:00 | Grafton(S5) | 3 | 1 | Swag(4) | Robbie Dolan7.4% | $2.12 | $2.54 | $2.10 | Race → | |
| 13:09 | Townsville(S5) | 2 | 3 | Small Town Hussler(2) | Ryan Wiggins16.8% | $2.89 | $3.47 | $3.40 | Race → | |
| 13:20 | Wellington(H10) | 3 | 8 | Adamana(5) | Clayton Gallagher10.9% | $2.04 | $2.45 | $1.40 | Race → | |
| 13:53 | Port Augusta(G3) | 3 | 2 | Here She Is(9) | Polly Brewster1.5% | $2.76 | $3.31 | — | Race → | |
| 13:57 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 1 | 6 | Graceful Lass(2) | Natasha Faithfull10.3% | $2.54 | $3.05 | $2.30 | Race → | |
| 14:05 | Casterton(S7) | 3 | 3 | Saint Eustace(5) | Steven Pateman15.4% | $2.54 | $3.05 | $2.40 | Race → | |
| 14:14 | Pioneer Park(W) | 2 | 4 | Startyourengine(2) | Stan Tsaikos7.4% | $2.63 | $3.16 | $1.45 | Race → | |
| 14:16 | Grafton(S5) | 5 | 4 | Spenzalot(7) | Mikayla Weir12.5% | $2.93 | $3.52 | $1.90 | Race → | |
| 14:24 | Townsville(S5) | 4 | 1 | Storm Capital(1) | Aidan Holt20.3% | $2.77 | $3.32 | $3.60 | Race → | |
| 14:28 | Port Augusta(G3) | 4 | 1 | Star Casino(5) | Dylan Caboche2.1% | $2.41 | $2.89 | — | Race → | |
| 14:32 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 2 | 1 | Dont Wait For Luck(5) | Cassey Martinan7.9% | $2.79 | $3.35 | $3.40 | Race → | |
| 14:40 | Casterton(S7) | 4 | 8 | Numbersneverseen(10) | Will Gordon13.7% | $2.68 | $3.22 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 14:45 | Hobart(S5) | 7 | 8 | Snowdonia(6) | Anthony Darmanin9.4% | $3.71 | $4.45 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 14:55 | Grafton(S5) | 6 | 1 | My Mum's Toyboy(6) | Justin P Stanley6.7% | $2.43 | $2.92 | $1.90 | Race → | |
| 15:00 | Bendigo(H10) | 7 | 13 | Of The View(8) | Billy Egan18.1% | $2.73 | $3.28 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 15:12 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 3 | 6 | White Hot(1) | Natasha Faithfull10.3% | $1.60 | $1.92 | $2.10 | Race → | |
| 15:16 | Wellington(H10) | 6 | 1 | Condone(9) | Jacob Stiff13.6% | $3.17 | $3.80 | $1.25 | Race → | |
| 15:20 | Casterton(S7) | 5 | 12 | Matrooshi(5) | Jack Hill10.5% | $5.08 | $6.10 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 15:30 | Pioneer Park(W) | 4 | 1 | The Big Freeze(1) | Deborah Barton20.8% | $3.86 | $4.63 | $1.35 | Race → | |
| 15:40 | Bendigo(H10) | 8 | 3 | All Business(11) | Holly Durnan8% | $3.81 | $4.57 | $4.40 | Race → | |
| 15:44 | Townsville(S5) | 6 | 8 | Cifonelli(11) | Aidan Holt20.3% | $2.89 | $3.47 | $4.60 | Race → | |
| 15:52 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 4 | 1 | Art Session(3) | Natika Riordan10% | $4.70 | $5.64 | $2.50 | Race → | |
| 15:56 | Wellington(H10) | 7 | 2 | De Joker(6) | Chad Lever6.8% | $2.66 | $3.19 | $1.80 | Race → | |
| 16:00 | Casterton(S7) | 6 | 1 | The Kill Club(5) | Will Gordon13.7% | $3.92 | $4.70 | $2.60 | Race → | |
| 16:15 | Grafton(S5) | 8 | 4 | Red Spector(9) | Ben Looker9.9% | $3.88 | $4.66 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 16:28 | Port Augusta(G3) | 7 | 6 | Fox Dunnett(4) | Jemma Gutte10.8% | $4.86 | $5.83 | — | Race → | |
| 16:32 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 5 | 4 | Viresha(5) | Chanel Cooper8.4% | $4.04 | $4.85 | $5.50 | Race → | |
| 16:40 | Casterton(S7) | 7 | 1 | Split(2) | Christine Puls0% | $1.51 | $1.81 | $14.00 | Race → | |
| 17:00 | Port Augusta(G3) | 8 | 4 | Sports Choice(6) | Tala Hutchinson11% | $4.00 | $4.80 | — | Race → | |
| 17:10 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 6 | 1 | Scottish Laird(1) | Natasha Faithfull10.3% | $2.65 | $3.18 | $2.60 | Race → | |
| 18:30 | Kalgoorlie(S5) | 8 | 4 | Just Sublime(2) | Natasha Faithfull10.3% | $2.54 | $3.05 | $3.20 | Race → |