What the models are actually backing.
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Saturday, July 4 2026
Consensus
Our key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.$1 win · SP49 plays · 17 early market meets target
Target price = Fair +20%
| R | No. | Horse | Silk | Jockey (90d win%) | Fair | Target | odds@09:15 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:18 | Waverley(S7) | 1 | 5 | Kyanite Man(1) | Leah Hemi7.2% | $3.86 | $4.63 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 10:10 | Te Rapa(H8) | 1 | 9 | Long Island(10) | Tom Wigram10.7% | $2.53 | $3.04 | $2.50 | Race → | |
| 10:45 | Te Rapa(H8) | 2 | 1 | Notabadspillane(9) | Sam McNab8.3% | $3.92 | $4.70 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 11:33 | Waverley(S7) | 5 | 8 | Cremant(4) | Amber Riddell8.3% | $3.85 | $4.62 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 11:40 | Rosehill(S7) | 2 | 20 | Extrio(4) | Keagan Latham17.2% | $3.83 | $4.60 | $18.00 | Race → | |
| 11:55 | Flemington(S7) | 1 | 4 | Stars Of Dom(4) | Craig Williams14% | $2.84 | $3.41 | $2.00 | Race → | |
| 12:00 | Wyong(S7) | 1 | 3 | Zunesha(6) | Mitchell Bell13.5% | $2.17 | $2.60 | $1.70 | Race → | |
| 12:02 | Te Rapa(H8) | 4 | 7 | Tale Of The Gypsy(2) | George Rooke13.9% | $4.78 | $5.74 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 12:05 | Gold Coast(G4) | 1 | 4 | Bomb Perignon(2) | Jaden Lloyd16.9% | $2.40 | $2.88 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 12:09 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 1 | 10 | Torpedoes(8) | Todd Pannell11.4% | $2.70 | $3.24 | $7.50 | Race → | |
| 12:23 | Sunshine Coast(S7) | 1 | 6 | Ruins Of Rome(10) | Benjamin Osmond14.6% | $5.20 | $6.24 | $9.00 | Race → | |
| 12:35 | Wyong(S7) | 2 | 8 | Oakfield Iowa(2) | Grant Buckley5% | $4.06 | $4.87 | $2.45 | Race → | |
| 12:37 | Te Rapa(H8) | 5 | 2 | Little Bit Of Love(4) | Sam McNab8.3% | $3.82 | $4.58 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 12:40 | Gold Coast(G4) | 2 | 6 | Submarine Mission(2) | Jasper Franklin0% | $2.05 | $2.46 | $2.00 | Race → | |
| 12:44 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 2 | 3 | Tweeter(2) | Tala Hutchinson11.2% | $2.98 | $3.58 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 12:50 | Rosehill(S7) | 4 | 1 | Big Red Tequila(5) | Adam Hyeronimus12.1% | $2.70 | $3.24 | $1.60 | Race → | |
| 13:05 | Flemington(S7) | 3 | 4 | Duchess Zou(4) | Jabez Johnstone17.9% | $2.93 | $3.52 | $3.40 | Race → | |
| 13:10 | Wyong(S7) | 3 | 8 | Zeitgeist(4) | Lee Magorrian7.6% | $4.51 | $5.41 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 13:15 | Gold Coast(G4) | 3 | 3 | Parading Gus(2) | Micheal Hellyer5% | $2.93 | $3.52 | $9.00 | Race → | |
| 13:19 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 3 | 2 | Orlova(6) | Tala Hutchinson11.2% | $1.46 | $1.75 | $1.50 | Race → | |
| 13:33 | Sunshine Coast(S7) | 3 | 8 | Make Me Great(3) | Leslie Tilley6.8% | $2.92 | $3.50 | $8.00 | Race → | |
| 13:36 | Port Macquarie(S7) | 2 | 5 | Airburst(5) | Ben Looker10.2% | $2.98 | $3.58 | $2.40 | Race → | |
| 13:47 | Te Rapa(H8) | 7 | 1 | Joshua Brown(4) | Lynsey Satherley4.5% | $3.89 | $4.67 | $4.40 | Race → | |
| 13:50 | Gold Coast(G4) | 4 | 4 | Gram(4) | Bella Youngberry9.1% | $3.89 | $4.67 | $2.65 | Race → | |
| 14:00 | Rosehill(S7) | 6 | 5 | Polyglot(6) | Tim Clark18.2% | $3.16 | $3.79 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 14:02 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 3 | 2 | Biden Time(12) | Jarrod Todd15.4% | $3.04 | $3.65 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 14:11 | Port Macquarie(S7) | 3 | 2 | Dancing Tilda(4) | 0% | $4.08 | $4.90 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 14:35 | Rosehill(S7) | 7 | 5 | Mo Chroi(12) | Tim Clark18.2% | $2.72 | $3.26 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 14:42 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 4 | 1 | The Girl's Boy(3) | Lek Maloney18.9% | $2.71 | $3.25 | $5.50 | Race → | |
| 15:00 | Wyong(S7) | 6 | 6 | Written Scandal(9) | Rory Hutchings9.5% | $2.67 | $3.20 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 15:09 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 6 | 9 | Maxildo(5) | Caitlin Tootell6.2% | $5.24 | $6.29 | $5.50 | Race → | |
| 15:17 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 5 | 5 | Montjuic Magic(2) | Jason Lyon15.2% | $3.06 | $3.67 | $1.80 | Race → | |
| 15:18 | Belmont Park(S7) | 2 | 6 | Mai Aloha(9) | William Pike26.3% | $2.69 | $3.23 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 15:23 | Sunshine Coast(S7) | 6 | 10 | Within The Law(10) | Dylan Gibbons9.3% | $7.21 | $8.65 | $2.35 | Race → | |
| 15:26 | Port Macquarie(S7) | 5 | 3 | Venom Wolf(6) | Raymond Spokes6.9% | $4.86 | $5.83 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 15:30 | Flemington(S7) | 7 | 3 | Al Duca(2) | Craig Williams14% | $2.94 | $3.53 | $2.65 | Race → | |
| 15:42 | Marble Bar(G3) | 2 | 4 | Favoured Son(5) | Jefferson Tsang12.2% | $2.81 | $3.37 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 15:44 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 7 | 6 | Like A Drifter(9) | Tala Hutchinson11.2% | $5.01 | $6.01 | $1.90 | Race → | |
| 16:10 | Flemington(S7) | 8 | 2 | Wise Inlaw(1) | Luke Cartwright6.6% | $2.34 | $2.81 | $6.50 | Race → | |
| 16:15 | Wyong(S7) | 8 | 1 | Call Me Mojo(3) | Rory Hutchings9.5% | $3.88 | $4.66 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 16:22 | Marble Bar(G3) | 3 | 5 | Leafice(6) | Rosie Mahony9% | $2.49 | $2.99 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 16:35 | Belmont Park(S7) | 4 | 1 | Territory Man(2) | William Pike26.3% | $1.57 | $1.88 | $2.25 | Race → | |
| 16:40 | Flemington(S7) | 9 | 1 | Clevor Trever(11) | Billy Egan18.4% | $2.94 | $3.53 | $3.40 | Race → | |
| 16:45 | Sunshine Coast(S7) | 8 | 8 | Gerringong(2) | Dylan Gibbons9.3% | $5.33 | $6.40 | $3.70 | Race → | |
| 16:54 | Marble Bar(G3) | 4 | 5 | Dawn Retreat(5) | Jefferson Tsang12.2% | $4.10 | $4.92 | $3.90 | Race → | |
| 17:01 | Murray Bridge GH(H8) | 9 | 2 | Howl(1) | Will Price6.7% | $5.31 | $6.37 | $13.00 | Race → | |
| 17:32 | Marble Bar(G3) | 5 | 1 | Reginald(1) | Jason Li12.9% | $2.95 | $3.54 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 17:50 | Belmont Park(S7) | 6 | 8 | Special Counsel(12) | William Pike26.3% | $5.31 | $6.37 | $8.00 | Race → | |
| 18:54 | Belmont Park(S7) | 8 | 11 | Auto Cruise(11) | Clint Johnston-Porter11.6% | $3.77 | $4.52 | $3.10 | Race → |